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HI-05 · Policy Research

Federal Funding Uncertainty and Island Resilience in Hawaii

Hawaii Policy Research Series · Island Security Policy Institute · 2026

Warren Pulley — Founder & Executive Director, ISPI
Author profile · ORCID: 0009-0007-8694-0149 · SSRN · Wikidata Q139822665
Published 2026
TL;DR — Key Finding

Hawaii's dependence on federal funding for public safety, emergency management, and military presence creates structural vulnerability that continental states do not face to the same degree. Federal funding uncertainty compounds every island public safety challenge simultaneously.

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Abstract

Examines Hawaii's structural dependence on federal funding for public safety and emergency management programs, documenting the compounding vulnerability this creates in an island environment with no adjacent state fiscal alternatives. This research is produced under the ISPI Research Methodology Guide v4.0 — five pillars: government agency sources, regional organizations, OSINT/Bellingcat two-source verification, the ISPI Global Expert Panel of 78 members across 14 disciplines, and AI synthesis under practitioner review. All ISPI research is free under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.

Key Findings

01

Hawaii receives disproportionately high federal funding relative to state tax revenue compared to continental states — the island fiscal dependency creates unique vulnerability to federal policy changes

02

Federal emergency management grant programs are calibrated to continental infrastructure assumptions that systematically undervalue island-specific preparedness investments

03

Military presence in Hawaii creates both a security asset and a fiscal dependency that have no continental analog — and that FEMA frameworks do not account for

SIDS Global Bridge — Samoa Pathway Application

Pacific SIDS including Marshall Islands, Palau, and Micronesia face extreme federal fiscal dependency through Compact of Free Association arrangements — a SIDS governance vulnerability with direct public safety implications.

Related Research

WP-10 — Democratic Resilience →HI-06 — Infrastructure Deficit →WP-01 — Island-State Security →
Citation

Pulley, Warren. "Federal Funding Uncertainty and Island Resilience in Hawaii." Island Security Policy Institute, 2026. https://ispiglobal.com/papers-landing/hi05-federal-funding.html

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